Why the LeanTossup UK Model shows very different results from everybody else
Recently, as Labour has overtaken the Conservatives in national polling, the LeanTossup Westminster model has shown wildly divergent results from other UK models. When Labour’s lead expanded to 10 percent nationally , or more in some instances, other models have...
LeanTossup NFL Model Week 6 Projections
I hope to make this a weekly column to discuss what the LeanTossup NFL model is showing for all of the NFL games on the slate. I will discuss what the model is saying, and add to that some human logic, as a fan, and a bettor of Football games, and to clean up any...
How the LeanTossup Football Model Works
For the NFL/NCAA model, we decided to do something completely different than most conventional football models
UFC 263: Three Fight of the Year Contenders.
It is a rarity that a UFC card comes around promising three Fight of Year contenders, and yet UFC 263 does just that. First, the main event rematch between reigning Middleweight king, Israel "The Last Stylebender" Adesanya, and #3 ranked Middleweight, Marvin "The...
UFC 262: A New Champ at 155, Ferguson’s Shot at Redemption
Khabib Nurmagomedov's retirement has made an already insanely populardivision even more interesting. The UFC continues, however, and with UFC262 in sight, many a MMA fan have jumped at the opportunity to dismissthe main event due to the public notion that Poirier V....
DreamHack Masters Spring 2021 – Opening round predictions
With ESL Pro League and it’s historic finish for Heroic all wrapped up, the CSGO world moves onto the 10th event in the Intel Grand Slam and DreamHacks first Masters level tournament of the year, DreamHack Masters Spring 2021. Starting this today is the opening round...
How the UK Census Tract Model works
What did you create? LeanTossup has created a model to map UK election results down to local small areas (census tracts or “precincts”) and tallied that data up to larger local areas (wards) to determine which party won each ward in each national election since...
Gambit secures first IEM Championship after historic run.
Yesterday was the IEM Katowice Grandfinal between CIS juggernauts Virtus.pro and Gambit esports. Both teams came to this final match unexpectedly, beating the likes of Na’Vi, Astralis and Team Liquid in upset victories to make it here today. The CIS rosters were...
Virtus Pro take IEM Katowice by storm
In a tournament that seemed like it could be a redemption story for many rosters like Astralis, Liquid and Vitality after a disappointing BLAST Spring groups finish has turned out to be a rude awakening instead. 4 out of 5 of HLTV’s top 5 teams were eliminated by...
CDL Week 2 Preview
With the first week of the CDL in the books, it’s time to launch the LeanTossup CDL model! While created and tested last year, but never publicly released, it was valuable to determine game by game winners, and to determine which team was stronger in which game modes....