Pipeline Politics: None Have More To Lose Than Kenney
With the inauguration of Joe Biden south of the border and the subsequent cancellation of the Keystone XL permit, Canadian politicians and leaders still supporting pipeline projects are having to face a stark reality; Pipelines are looking pretty dead. In the last few...
Will History Repeat in the Georgia Runoffs?
Stop me if you’ve heard this before: A massive early vote lead. A higher minority share of the electorate. Large turnout in the suburbs. Favorable polling for the Democrats. Almost every possible factor pointing to a Democratic win. We all know exactly where we saw...
First CFP Rankings Thoughts
While I didn’t have an article out earlier this week recapping the results from the weekend, I decided to wait until we got the first set of College Football Playoff Rankings, so that we could have a little more information about the playoff picture. Now that they’re...
US Election Aftermath Part II: What Happened With Hispanics?
Last week, in our series analyzing the results of the 2020 election, I examined why the model struggled, and the specific areas where it performed poorly. This week, I want to talk about one of the less discussed parts of the election: Trump’s surge with...
How the LeanTossup Model got the 2020 Presidential Election Wrong
As the dust has begun to settle on the 2020 election, most of the modelers have begun dissecting what went right and what went wrong. At LeanTossup we’re not pulling any punches here, we were wrong. We’re not going to point to calling 46/51 states correct, or calling...
Robert’s College Football Thoughts, Week 11
In a week of canceled games due to COVID-19, many of the storylines we hoped to have answers to after this week are still unresolved. However, we did learn a lot about many of the teams that did play this week, and it further sets up the stage for next weeks matchups....
Robert’s College Football Review, Week 11
As a companion to Evan’s NFL content, I will be providing NCAA football coverage, talking about what I believe are the biggest stories in College Football each week. Let’s get started: Notre Dame finally beats a top team It finally happened. After years of Notre Dame...
Biden’s Historically And Remarkably Stable Lead
We’re a mere forty days out from the 2020 presidential election and as of the writing of this article only six days out from the first presidential debate between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. I’d be lying if I said that I was confident that the debates will have no...
The Next Few Weeks Could Determine if Doug Ford Wins Re-Election In 2022
One of the most power advantages in sports is the serve in Tennis. When it is your turn to serve to your opponent (service game), you set the pace of the game, you power the ball over the net to your opponent. When you serve it is incumbent on the opponent to respond...
NDP: Hunker Down And Ride Out The Minority
People have been speculating as of late that a fall election could be right around the corner. These assumptions have only come about thanks to the thinking that the NDP would be the ones to trigger a fall election, at least according to some pundits in the Canadian...