Models

Canada

Britain

Scotland

A map of Alberta.

Wales

A map of Alberta.

Posts

How the UK Census Tract Model works

What did you create?  LeanTossup has created a model to map UK election results down to local small areas (census tracts or “precincts”) and tallied that data up to larger local areas (wards) to determine which party won each ward in each national election since...

Virtus Pro take IEM Katowice by storm

In a tournament that seemed like it could be a redemption story for many rosters like Astralis, Liquid and Vitality after a disappointing BLAST Spring groups finish has turned out to be a rude awakening instead. 4 out of 5 of HLTV’s top 5 teams were eliminated by...

CDL Week 2 Preview

With the first week of the CDL in the books, it’s time to launch the LeanTossup CDL model! While created and tested last year, but never publicly released, it was valuable to determine game by game winners, and to determine which team was stronger in which game modes....

Will History Repeat in the Georgia Runoffs?

Stop me if you’ve heard this before: A massive early vote lead. A higher minority share of the electorate. Large turnout in the suburbs. Favorable polling for the Democrats. Almost every possible factor pointing to a Democratic win. We all know exactly where we saw...