CPC Leadership: Quebec Is Key

If I told you that the next Conservative leader will need to lean heavily into Quebec if they want to win, would you believe me? Well, very simply, it’s true, insofar as the August 21st Conservative leadership contest is concerned. While not top of mind right now for...

LeanTossup Ratings: A More Reserved Approach

Kyle's May 2020 Predictions for November, Biden v Trump It’s the year 2016. We’re still several months out from a major and consequential national election, and the primaries of the two major parties are on-going but very much locked in. Up against each other are two...

LeanTossup Ratings: Trust The Model

Many people ask me how I feel what the actual results will be on November 3rd. Even though we have a model which is updated several times a week, it is still good to talk about how we actually expect each state to fall in the election. So, for this theme week, let’s...